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Sep11
What McCain said about Obama and Palin to Hillary and Biden
NextStage: Predictive Intelligence, Persuasion Engineering, Interactive Analytics and Behavioral Metrics This post continues my analysis of 2008 US Presidential election campaign websites started in Senator McCain's campaign site homepages (10 Feb, 6 and 22 Mar 07). For those who came because of the title (perhaps thinking you'd discover some great dish) no, sorry. I'm just curious to see where such a title ends up in search listings. It seems information on presidential politics (as such) isn't something of great interest to the online community and I wonder why.

Anyway, you can find a complete list of this blog's political posts at Politics.

Candidate Obama's website on Sunday, 24 June 07Onto Senator Obama's homepage on Sunday, 24 June 07...

Sunday, 24 June 07

On this day Senator Obama's campaign website homepage was using a K15 communication style (Myers-Briggs equivalents are ENFP, ENFJ and ENTP). This marks a departure from the three previous analyses which were all V15s. What's the difference?

V15 K15
  • These people make decisions based on what they see, picture and charts are strong influencers
  • They have a poor sense of time or involvement
  • They are more apt to believe and accept negative statements
  • They tend to become confused when time-factors are demonstrated as important to a decision
  • These people prefer to experience things firsthand
  • Their long-lasting decisions and learning's will be made based on an overall sense of what to avoid
  • They base decisions on immediate experience and tend to be negative in nature
  • They tend to ignore positive-based information as either unreal or unsubstantiated

Does such a shift in communication style benefit Senator Obama's efforts?

Click for larger image Well, not really. K15s and V15s make up such a small percentage of the population webwise that reaching out to them is not useful at all and is probably more an indication of the mental processes of the people designing Senator Obama's website than it is a statement of who they're wanting to reach. The chart on the right shows all specific communication/decision styles that are over 5% of the US population. Neither K15 nor V15 are listed. For that matter, they don't show up regardless of how fine a comb you use.

For what it's worth, it is rare that a website is truly designed for some audience segment. It may be designed for some demographic and it is rare that it is actually designed for how that demographic thinks.

But for arguments sake, let's say Senator Obama's site, while being targeted towards K15s on this particular day, was really going for a larger slice of the pie, something that encapsulated K15s yet wasn't so stringent in its requirements? NextStage calculates these communication styles based on a variety of factors. What if we only consider four factors?

Sadly, leaving only the four primary factors still has Senator Obama's website on this day communicating to 0% of population.

With three factors things change a little. You have to ask, "Which three factors are most important?" Do you care about whether they understand the consequences of their actions? Then Senator Obama's website is still pulling in 0% of the vote (so to speak). But what if you care about their outlook on life? Then he's communicating to just under 10% of the population.

At two factors (again depending which two you consider important), the site's best efforts speak to 19.5% of the population, and at one factor (interestingly enough) the number goes down to 17.2%.

I suppose it's heartening to know Americans aren't single issue voters even if they think they are.

What else changes from our previous investigation?

Senator Obama's Homepage Gender Appeal on four days in 07For one thing, there's a slight shift in gender appeal. He's now going after noticeably more male audience (the bottom bars on the image).

The homepage is also stating its messages more forcefully than before, although in much the same proportions as before. I mentioned in previous posts that stating a message is one thing, how well/loud/intensely the messages is stated is another matter entirely.

Click for larger imageThis image shows the relative strengths of the different Presidential messages. It's obvious that (in most cases) the website is broadcasting those messages a little stronger/louder/more forcefully/with more intensity.

Will this be intuitively obvious to the casual observer? Probably not. First, the proportional strengths of the messages hasn't changed much if any at all.

Click for larger imageCompare this chart with the previous one. The intensities of the messages has increased and their proportional intensity is much as it had been a few months earlier. The end result is that people will probably pay more attention (much as any loud noise or bright light, etc., will catch our attention until we determine a) continue paying attention at a cognitive level (you might like what you're reading, etc) or b) dismiss the stimulus as irrelevant) at least for a moment.

(more to follow...)

Please contact NextStage for information regarding presentations and trainings on this and other topics.

Sign up for the NextStage Irregular, our very irregular, definitely frequency-wise and probably topic-wise newsletter.


3 Comments/Trackbacks




When you were analyzing the candidates' web sites 4-5 years ago (primary and then presidential), I seem to recall seeing a fair number of V15's, V9's, K15's and K9's.

If you were to device a PWB group (where P stands for Political), would these be their communication style? Is it possible (although unintentional) that these web sites are targeting other professional politicians? How would you change Obama's web site to target that valuable V19 demographic from your pie chart?

Hello again, WindKiller,
I addressed the first part of your comment in Did Americans Always Think This Way? (Responding to WindKiller's comment on "What McCain said about Obama and Palin to Hillary and Biden").
More to follow, and thanks for reading and commenting.

WindKiller, I answered the second part of your question in Designing a Political Language Engine (WindKiller's PWB comment) and What's Happening Up North?.
Enjoy - Joseph

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