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Sep18
Did Americans Always Think This Way? (Responding to WindKiller's comment on "What McCain said about Obama and Palin to Hillary and Biden")
NextStage: Predictive Intelligence, Persuasion Engineering, Interactive Analytics and Behavioral Metrics WindKiller asked some excellent questions in his comment on What McCain said about Obama and Palin to Hillary and Biden. I'll do my best to respond to them here.

One thing WindKiller wrote was "When you were analyzing the candidates' web sites 4-5 years ago (primary and then presidential), I seem to recall seeing a fair number of V15's, V9's, K15's and K9's."

There's an implied and not stated question there; Have American thought processes changed over the past few years?

Yes, they have (and good catch and eyes, WindKiller. Thanks for keeping me on my toes). I was going to include this information in What McCain said about Obama and Palin to Hillary and Biden and didn't know if it would be interesting enough to people not versed in the science. I'll do my best to make it more accessible in the future.

That offered...

Click for larger imageThis chart is the one shown in What McCain said about Obama and Palin to Hillary and Biden and shows the primary decision/communication styles for the US population a little over a year ago (3 July 07). The dominant style is V19 by just under three (3) percentage points. V19s have the following characteristics:
  • These people are extremely visually oriented
  • They tend to live in the past
  • They pay the most attention to references of past events, framed in the negative and presented in a visual format
  • They are influenced by being reminded of past problems
Click for larger imageThis chart is from 30 May 03. V19 is listed and it's in third place. The dominant decision/communication style is V3 with A11 about one percentage point behind. The V3 communication style can be summed up as
  • These people base their decisions on what they see
  • They focus on past failures
  • They favor explanations of how to get out of present of future trouble
  • They are more often influenced by the examples of others rather than their own experience
A11s tend to
  • These people base their decisions on avoiding pain or discomfort
  • They are not influenced by references to past, present or future successes
  • They tend to be loners who willingly avoid social situations
  • They learn most rapidly if the lesson has a threat (real or imagined) of pain or discomfort
The big change between 2003 and 2007 (national personality wise) was that people in 2007 had a much greater sense of personal vulnerability than they did in 2003 and their escape mechanism from that sense of personal vulnerability was to remember "the good old days" (whatever that meant to them).

There are some things worth noting on these two charts alone. The dominant communication styles in 2003 were

2003
Style %
A65.59
A116.69
A146.19
V37.70
V65.64
V196.51
In four years two decision styles -- V21 and V22 -- that together summed to only 5.64% of the 2003 audience entered prominence in 2007. Likewise, A6 and A14 fell off our radar, A6 by three points and A14 by just under two.

The take-away from this indicates a major shift in how the US population is making decisions. People in 2003 were listening to each other much more than they are now, despite all the hoopla about social media and such. Note that I wrote listening, not talking. People may be talking to each other a lot more now than they were in 2003 but they're not listening to each other as much as they were then.

This concept -- talking but not listening -- actually hearkens back to another comment WindKiller posted in Barack Obama, John McCain, Politics, Presidential Election 2008 and Political Websites, part 2.

Another item worth noting is the A6 decision style; 5.59% in 2003 and 6.15% in 2007. That's pretty steady considering population fluctuations and such. The big winner, of course, is V19 with a gain of about three points.

Click for larger imageBut the times, as they say, are a'changin'. Tuesday, 9 Sept 08, just over a week ago saw the loss of V3 and the gain of A10. The sum of this change over a year's time is that people are now talking and listening to each other much more than they were before. People (in general) are still sensing a personal vulnerability but the close cropping of styles (10 and 11, 19, 21 and 22) indicate a large percentage of the population is still on the fence (more like "teetering on the edge") regarding which way to vote.

Like A11 and unlike V19, V6 stays fairly steady through time. Styles that remain steady through time are usually indications of cultural and/or demographic based decision styles and are often demonstrated by a geographically stable population. Historically these are shown by large immigrant populations all settling in one geographic location. More modern times see these phenomena in socio-cultural economic groups (national or international unions, religious groups (not denominations. For example, not "Baptists" but "Evangelicals"), etc.). It would be a worthy study to follow the A11 and V6 because these styles are complementary. Going after one usually means going away from the other.

A consistent style -- such as V19 -- that varies over time tends to be a demonstration of a socially defined decision style, such as Boomer, GenY, GenX, WASP, DINK and so on.

Of course, this could also play into Republican and Democrat based decision processes.

Something for another post, me thinks.

Click for larger image Finally, what has changed in a little over a week? Pretty much the numbers remain as they should. You'll see major shifts in short periods of time when widescale trauma occurs -- much like the human body responding to injury, the more serious the injury the greater the change in the body's response systems. "Trauma" can mean anything that shifts social consciousness on a grand scale and includes sports teams winning to the emotional strain of filing income taxes to national economic instability to devastating weather.

Summing up this post, I offer the following table for those keeping score.

StyleMay 03 % Jun 07 %9 Sep 08 %18 Sep 08 %
A65.59   
A10  5.265.37
A116.696.155.795.73
A146.19   
V37.705.89  
V65.645.156.476.41
V196.519.565.445.42
V21 5.325.845.89
V22 6.157.937.66
I'll respond to the rest of WindKiller's comment in my next post.

Please contact NextStage for information regarding presentations and trainings on this and other topics.

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3 Comments/Trackbacks




The discussion sounds illuminating. However, the references to US decision styles with numbers that appear to denote a classification set according to a range of some criteria is mysterious to a non-specialist. What is an A6 or A11 or V6 or V21, etc. decision style?

I'd be humbly grateful for a brief explanation.

Dwight

Dwight,

The A11 style is described in the article. The rest may or may not be part of system unique to Joseph. I think Joseph avoided explaining all of them because there was no pattern detected that merited an explanation of the behaviors (and if they are arbitrarily found, what's the use in reviewing them further).

The A/V at the beginning of the code refers to how the person receives information. An A11 page is going to be directed to someone who receives information audiolly, while V6 is going to be directed to individuals who prefer to receive information visually. When an individual locks into receiving information visually (e.g., watching TV) they will have trouble processing verbal communication. That is a simple sumation because someone can say "Look Dwight, ..." while you are watching TV and help you receive verbal information (using visual terms/cues). Similarly, a web site could communicate to an audiolly receptive audience without broadcasting sound. K's are used for kinesthetics, and there are a few other letters for a few other senses.

I am not sure of an easy to follow logic to the numeric side of the coding (easy is relative here). I don't even think a V6 and an A6 share any real relation. Thus, you need to see a glossary providing explanations like those in the article to fully appreciate them. And there would be well over 100 entries in this glossary.

You will notice they all reference temporal elements (past/present/future), pain/pleasure motivations, societal influences, and a few other common characteristics.

Dwight,
I made a first pass at answering your question in Do McCain, Biden, Palin and Obama Think the Way We Do? (Part 1).
Let me know if you need more or other information.
Thanks for reading and commenting,
Joseph

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