As noted in the previous post, these predictions are "If people voted today" and one snapshot does not a reliable prediction make. The previous post described the method I used to make these (not to be taken seriously at this point) predictions.
The results:If people had to vote today for the four candidates in our study (and let me emphasize, one snapshot does not a prediction make. We were taking daily snapshots back in the 2004 campaign season and that's what made our predictions so reliable) the results would be as follows:
- Hillary Clinton get 0% of the votes.
- John McCain gets 0% of the votes.
- Barack Obama gets 0% of the votes. On a good note, we did notice that Mr. Obama's site was modified along the lines NextStage suggested in our Political Campaigns on the Web post.
- Mitt Romney gets 0% of the votes.
I also think it's worth noting that Barack Obama and John McCain are going after almost identical audiences. Almost, not completely identical, just "almost". Mitt Romney is going after a similar audience to them. Hillary Clinton is going for a completely different audience than the three men. Is this a gender thing? Actually, I'd say yes (very preliminary, not really enough research to be definite).
And that's the way it is, 10 Feb 07, 11:20amET.
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Links for this post:
- NPR's Weekend Edition Saturday
- Political posts and pages
- Politicians' sites:
- Presidential Pool, 2008
- TargetTrack info
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